Is Matt Gaetz Set to Ignite a Chaotic Battle for Florida’s Governor Seat?
In the sun-soaked political landscape of Florida, whispers of a high-stakes gubernatorial race are growing louder, with former Congressman Matt Gaetz emerging as a wildcard that could flip the script. As the 2026 election looms, Gaetz's potential entry injects unpredictability into what was shaping up as a tightly controlled Republican contest, raising questions about loyalty, endorsements, and scandal. This development not only highlights the enduring influence of former President Donald Trump but also underscores the volatile nature of Florida politics, a state that often sets the tone for national trends.
Gaetz, a staunch Trump ally and current news anchor for One America News, has been coy about his ambitions, teasing the idea of running for governor amid a crowded field. Trump has already thrown his weight behind Rep. Byron Donalds, who has amassed significant fundraising prowess, including millions from major donors like Jeff Yass. However, the race is far from settled, with Florida First Lady Casey DeSantis also mulling a bid. Analysts suggest Gaetz sees opportunity in a potential three-way primary, where vote-splitting could allow a "dark horse" to emerge victorious with just around 30% of the vote. A Florida Republican operative noted, "Matt is always thinking—I could see him seeing a potential multi-way race presenting him an opportunity to re-emerge."
Complicating matters is the ongoing scrutiny surrounding Casey DeSantis and the Hope Florida program, which has drawn investigations over allegations of misusing federal funds to influence ballot measures. Governor Ron DeSantis has staunchly defended the initiative, declaring, "I believe in this program deeply, and I stand by it 100%." Yet, this controversy has tempered enthusiasm for her candidacy, potentially clearing a path for outsiders like Gaetz. Meanwhile, Donalds benefits from Trump's endorsement, which one adviser described as "set," but the former president's history of political maneuvering leaves room for doubt.
Comparisons abound: Gaetz's aggressive style echoes Trump's, but without the same ability to mend fences, as critics point out his past clashes, including with the DeSantis family. Ron DeSantis himself has seen a sharp decline in influence since his failed 2024 presidential run, with political scientists like Aubrey Jewett from the University of Central Florida observing, "He’s completely crashed to the ground at this point." This shift could make Gaetz's entry even more disruptive, turning the race into a test of Trump's kingmaker status versus rising independents or Democrats, such as former Rep. David Jolly, who is eyeing a Democratic bid.
As developments unfold post-Florida's legislative session, the possibility of a multi-candidate showdown promises drama and division within the GOP. This race isn't just about Florida; it's a barometer for national Republican dynamics in a post-Trump era, where alliances can shatter as quickly as they form.
In summary, Gaetz's potential run could redefine Florida's political future, challenging established players and highlighting the fragility of power. Will this lead to a historic upset, or will Trump's endorsement hold firm? The outcome may reshape not only the Sunshine State but also the broader GOP landscape. We invite you to share your thoughts in the comments below—do you think Gaetz can pull off a surprise victory? Join the conversation and spread the word.
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