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Could Gavin Newsom’s Crackdown on Homeless Encampments Redefine His Legacy?

Could Gavin Newsom’s Crackdown on Homeless Encampments Redefine His Legacy?

Governor Gavin Newsom of California is intensifying his battle against the state's persistent homeless crisis, a move that could shape his political future amid whispers of a 2028 presidential run. As encampments continue to mar urban landscapes from Sacramento to Los Angeles, Newsom's tough stance highlights the intersection of humanitarian challenges and electoral strategy, raising questions about whether his policies will bring real change or just controversy.

At the heart of Newsom's approach is a model ordinance released this week, urging cities and counties to ban persistent camping on public property and clear encampments with urgency. This directive follows a 2024 U.S. Supreme Court ruling that affirmed local governments' authority to enforce such measures. Newsom, often labeled a progressive leader, has allocated over $27 billion in state funds to combat homelessness, including $3.3 billion from Proposition 1 for behavioral health housing. Yet, as he calls for "no more excuses," critics point to the January wildfires that exacerbated the housing shortage, leaving more than 12,000 homes destroyed in Los Angeles County alone. The governor's proposal includes provisions for 48 hours' notice and offers of shelter before clearances, aiming to balance enforcement with compassion.

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom addressing the public.

Reactions from local leaders are mixed. In San Jose, Mayor Matt Mahan has endorsed Newsom's push, already implementing sweeps that removed over 6.5 million pounds of trash from encampments and expanding no-encampment zones. Mahan told reporters, "It's great to have the governor pushing alongside us to end the era of encampments," emphasizing the need for more treatment beds. However, homeless advocates like Todd Langton of Agape Silicon Valley argue that such bans displace vulnerable people without solving root causes. "It's going to cause more dysfunction and suffering," Langton said, noting increased calls for emergency housing as sweeps push individuals into unstable situations. Democratic strategist Max Burns labels Newsom's tactics as "pure triangulation," suggesting they're designed to appeal to moderates ahead of 2028 primaries.

Analysts compare this to Newsom's earlier efforts, like his 2002 San Francisco initiative prioritizing shelters over general assistance, which laid groundwork for his current policies. While California has slowed homelessness growth to just 3%—outpacing many states—the state still grapples with 187,000 unhoused individuals, the largest in the U.S. This persistence raises doubts about the effectiveness of Newsom's centrist shift, especially as he cuts funding for reproductive health and undocumented immigrant services to balance the budget. Political science professor Thad Kousser notes that these actions align with Newsom's long-term pragmatism, but they risk alienating progressive voters who question his core values.

California is outperforming large population states in slowing down homelessness.
Bar graph showing California's homelessness trends compared to other states.

In essence, Newsom's encampment strategy represents a pivotal moment for California, blending policy innovation with political maneuvering. As the state prepares for events like the 2028 Los Angeles Olympics, will these measures reduce homelessness or expose deeper systemic flaws? This ongoing saga invites reflection on the human cost of policy decisions and the path to true reform.

What do you think—will Newsom's approach succeed, or does it overlook critical needs? Share your views in the comments below and help spread this discussion by sharing the article.

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