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Is California’s Groundbreaking Health Program on the Brink of Change?

Is California’s Groundbreaking Health Program on the Brink of Change?

In a bold move, California transformed its Medi-Cal program in 2022, expanding coverage to include housing, healthy food, and other social services for its most vulnerable residents. This innovative approach, known as CalAIM, aimed to improve health outcomes and reduce costs. But as the Trump administration takes the helm, whispers of cutbacks are raising alarms, potentially reshaping how states like California deliver essential care. With millions relying on Medi-Cal, the stakes couldn't be higher for public health and economic stability.

At the heart of the controversy is the Trump administration's push to return Medicaid to its 'basics,' focusing solely on traditional medical services. Newly confirmed Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services head Dr. Mehmet Oz has voiced strong objections, stating during his swearing-in, 'This one really bothers me. There are states who are using Medicaid dollars for people who are vulnerable for services that are not medical.' This stance aligns with broader Republican efforts to slash federal spending, including a House proposal for $880 billion in cuts over a decade. California's CalAIM, which uses federal waivers to fund extras like rent assistance and tailored meals for high-cost users, now faces uncertainty.

A UCLA study warns that proposed changes, such as work requirements for Medicaid eligibility, could strip coverage from nearly 2.3 million Californians, with over half being Latinos. In San Diego County alone, 44% of Latinos depend on Medi-Cal for basic health needs. Experts like Arturo Vargas Bustamante highlight that many in industries like hospitality and construction lack employer-provided insurance, making Medi-Cal a critical safety net. Richard Kronick, a UC San Diego health policy professor, adds that such requirements won't boost employment but will lead to unnecessary coverage losses, potentially resulting in sicker populations and higher long-term costs.

Physician assistant Brett Feldman checks his patient, Carla Bolen’s, blood pressure while in her encampment at the Figueroa St. Viaduct above Highway 110 in Elysian Valley Park in Los Angeles on Nov. 18, 2022. Photo by Larry Valenzuela, CalMatters/CatchLight Local
Physician assistant Brett Feldman checks his patient, Carla Bolen’s, blood pressure while in her encampment at the Figueroa St. Viaduct above Highway 110 in Elysian Valley Park in Los Angeles on Nov. 18, 2022. Photo by Larry Valenzuela, CalMatters/CatchLight Local

This shift marks a stark contrast to the Biden era, where states were encouraged to experiment with Medicaid funding for social determinants of health. Kathy Hempstead from the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation notes, 'Under the Biden administration, states were encouraged to... refer people to community-based services. This administration is not receptive at all to that vision.' For instance, California's street medicine programs, which help homeless patients avoid costly emergency room visits by addressing housing instability, could lose support. Paul Shafer from the Boston University Medicaid Policy Lab calls this a 'step backward,' emphasizing that unmet social needs drive up medical expenses in the long run.

Despite these signals, California's Department of Health Care Services insists that current programs remain operational until at least 2026. Yet, the broader implications are clear: prioritizing cost savings over holistic care might exacerbate inequalities. As John Baackes, former CEO of L.A. Care, warns, 'The messaging that we want to go back to the basics of Medicaid puts all of these waiver programs in jeopardy.'

In summary, the potential overhaul of Medi-Cal under Trump could undo years of progress, disproportionately affecting vulnerable communities and straining the state's health system. What does this mean for the future of innovative health policies? Will these changes truly save money, or risk more lives? We invite readers to share your thoughts in the comments below and discuss how this might impact your community.

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